With former Prime Minister John Key’s resignation on Monday, not only did the leadership of the National Party need a shake up, but so too did the Ministerial portfolio’s. With a change in direction likely, Prime Minister Bill English would have spent the weekend looking hard at who would be best suited to what portfolio’s as well who is most deserving of one and who should be demoted. The change in the Ministerial guard will give New Zealanders a good idea of where Mr English and his Deputy Paula Bennett are going to take this country.
So here is how I anticipate the dispersal of Ministerial portfolio’s to go when Bill English announces his new Cabinet (ones in bold already confirmed; ones in italics are ones that the M.P. in question is seeking):
- Bill English will be Prime Minister and will probably pick up National Security and Intelligence
- Paula Bennett will be Deputy Prime Minister; may keep Climate Change and one other portfolio
- Steven Joyce will pick up Treasurer; may pick up a minor possibly related portfolio
- Gerry Brownlee will remain Minister for Earthquake Recovery, Minister for Defence
- Jonathan Coleman will remain Minister of Health; seeking Foreign Affairs
- Anne Tolley will keep Social Welfare; may pick up a minor portfolio
- Amy Adams will remain Minister of Justice; possibly pick up a minor portfolio
- Nick Smith will keep Environment and Housing
- Hekia Parata will keep Education and may have to pick up Tertiary Education with Steven Joyce taking on Treasurer
- Judith Collins will remain Minister of Police and Minister of Corrections
- Chris Finlayson will stay Attorney General
There will be new comers who have shown potential, who will be trying for portfolios. There are some options for them open as a few non-performing Ministers may get demoted. The new comers I suspect will get a promotion will be Chris Bishop, Paul Foster-Bell, Alfred Ngaro who will take up some of the portfolio’s likely to be surrendered by Steven Joyce, Paula Bennett and Bill English. Also on the hunt for portfolio’s are likely to be Jian Yang, David Bennett and Jonathan Young, all of whom have Select Committee experience and may be wanting a bigger challenge.
Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga had a bad run with Corrections and has been mediocre with his other responsibilities. He may get demoted in favour of a fresh face. Murray McCully is finishing up but will probably hang onto Foreign Affairs until he goes.
Nikki Kaye is recovering from breast cancer, for which she is having chemotherapy. With no timetable for her to return she is unlikely to feature. She may also be limited for medical reasons should she return before the end of the Parliamentary term as to what she is allowed to do.